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Chesterfield
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
1 - 1
Man City U21s

Oldaker (79')
Grimes (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wright (52')
O'Reilly (56')
Chesterfield win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Chesterfield and Manchester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-5 Chesterfield
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 3-1 Man City U21s
Saturday, August 17 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawManchester City Under-21s
53.95% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 20.26% (0.023 0.02) 25.79% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 69.42% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)28% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.26% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)48.74% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)10.8% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.83% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)22.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.57% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 53.95%
    Manchester City Under-21s 25.79%
    Draw 20.26%
ChesterfieldDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.95%
1-1 @ 8.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.61% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27%
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.79%

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