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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
MK Dons

Lincoln
1 - 1
MK Dons

Mandroiu (5')
House (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maghoma (89')
Jules (39'), Leko (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 MK Dons

MK Dons will be determined to return to winning ways as they bid to move out of the relegation zone, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side who are yet to lose a home league game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
48.38% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.34% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 25.29% (0.364 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.073 0.07)55.67% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.059000000000001 0.06)76.82% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.155 -0.16)23.05% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-0.229 -0.23)56.87% (0.234 0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (0.363 0.36)37.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.352 0.35)74.23% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.37%
    MK Dons 25.29%
    Draw 26.34%
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.37%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: Lincoln vs MK Dons

Lincoln City
61.3%
Draw
32.3%
MK Dons
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-3
MK Dons
O'Hora (4' og.), Maguire (8' pen.)
McGrandles (43'), Bridcutt (60'), Eyoma (81'), Maguire (90+2')
Twine (60', 90'), O'Riley (75')
Twine (43'), Darling (79')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Lincoln
4-0
MK Dons
Johnson (48', 53', 59' pen.), Fisher (73' og.)
Poole (14'), Johnson (20')

Laird (39'), Kasumu (66'), Darling (72'), Harvie (87'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Lincoln
Mason (58')
Harvie (25'), Houghton (45+3'), Cargill (64'), Brittain (69'), Kasumu (73')
Grant (11' pen.), Hopper (78')
Jones (54'), Morton (69'), Eyoma (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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