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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
MK Dons

Sheff Weds
5 - 2
MK Dons

Windass (9'), Smith (54' pen., 74'), Gregory (64'), Byers (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leko (2'), Eisa (24')
McEachran (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 MK Dons

With far more momentum and quality than their visitors, we can only envisage Sheffield Wednesday extending their eye-catching run of form with another relatively comfortable triumph at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
74.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 16.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 8.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.4% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)52.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 74.29%
    MK Dons 8.9%
    Draw 16.8%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.8%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.9%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs MK Dons

Sheffield Wednesday
88.5%
Draw
3.8%
MK Dons
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Sheff Weds
Windass (22' pen.)
Ihiekwe (45+2'), Bannan (67'), Paterson (76'), Dele-Bashiru (80')
Apr 16, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-3
Sheff Weds
Parrott (40'), Twine (90+6')
Darling (71'), Coventry (83')
Berahino (10'), Gregory (20'), Bannan (30')
Storey (59'), Palmer (90+1'), Johnson (90+7')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
2-1
MK Dons
Gregory (83'), Windass (90+3')
Palmer (5')
Twine (47')
Baldwin (2'), Kioso (90+1')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
0-0
MK Dons

Lees (78'), Hooper (79'), Forestieri (81'), Pudil (87')
Wallace (84')

Maynard (91')
Dec 15, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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