Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.