MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:47:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 32
Sep 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
University College Dublin

Derry
6 - 0
UCD

Mullen (5'), Patching (46'), McJannett (54'), Kavanagh (69'), Duffy (76'), McGonigle (89')
McGonigle (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barr (31'), Myler (32'), Clancy (37'), Keaney (77')
Keaney (82')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 1-0 Derry
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: UCD 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 90.1%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 4-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.51%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawUniversity College Dublin
90.1% (-0.744 -0.74) 7.46% (0.5309 0.53) 2.43% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 33.33% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.01% (-1.504 -1.5)28.98% (1.504 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.04% (-1.865 -1.87)49.95% (1.864 1.86)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.11% (-0.349 -0.35)3.88% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.5% (-1.149 -1.15)16.5% (1.148 1.15)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.67% (0.289 0.29)65.32% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.86% (0.1209 0.12)93.14% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 90.1%
    University College Dublin 2.43%
    Draw 7.46%
Derry CityDrawUniversity College Dublin
3-0 @ 14.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 13.38% (0.43 0.43)
4-0 @ 11.77% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.488 0.49)
5-0 @ 7.65% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.089 0.09)
2-1 @ 5.7% (0.24 0.24)
4-1 @ 5.01% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
6-0 @ 4.14% (-0.352 -0.35)
5-1 @ 3.26% (-0.142 -0.14)
7-0 @ 1.92% (-0.224 -0.22)
6-1 @ 1.76% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 90.1%
1-1 @ 3.51% (0.242 0.24)
0-0 @ 2.54% (0.218 0.22)
2-2 @ 1.21% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 7.46%
0-1 @ 1.08% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 2.43%

How you voted: Derry vs UCD

Derry City
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
University College Dublin
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
UCD
0-5
Derry

O'Brien (90')
Mullen (2'), Patching (40', 52'), Kavanagh (44', 57')
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Derry
4-1
UCD
McEneff (13'), Duffy (50', 64'), Ward (84')
Doherty (45+2'), Ward (80'), Ward (81')
Wells (75')
Gallagher (15')
Mar 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
UCD
0-4
Derry
McEneff (15', 41'), O'Neill (65'), Osam (75' og.)
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derry
3-0
UCD
Graydon (5'), Diallo (71'), Duffy (86')

Gallagher (62'), Brennan (75')
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
UCD
0-1
Derry

Caffrey (20')
Patching (53' pen.)
McGonigle (41')
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