MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:46:08| >> :600:1981981:1981981:
Derry City
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))

Derry
1 - 0
Tobol

Patching (15' pen.)
O'Reilly (69'), Duffy (90+5')
FT
(aet)

Deble (14'), Kairov (72'), Asrankulov (86'), Rogac (104'), Mullen (116'), Mladovic (118')
Tobol win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and Tobol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derry 3-0 Drogheda
Sunday, August 13 at 6.30pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Tobol 1-0 Derry
Thursday, August 10 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Shamrock501.85Burke
2St Patrick's491.81Forrester
3Bohemians411.52Afolabi
4Dundalk401.48Hoban
5Derry361.38McEneff
6Shelbourne301.11Moylan
7Sligo301.11Mata
8Drogheda291.07Draper
9Cork City281.04Keating
10UCD150.58Kinsella-Bishop

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 9.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.05%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (4.12%).

Result
Derry CityDrawTobol
71.86% (0.83 0.83) 18.49% (-0.452 -0.45) 9.65% (-0.383 -0.38)
Both teams to score 40.05% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.77500000000001 0.78)49.42% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.695 0.7)71.46% (-0.69800000000001 -0.7)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (0.46599999999999 0.47)12.41% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.69% (0.966 0.97)38.31% (-0.972 -0.97)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.73% (-0.297 -0.3)54.27% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.56% (-0.183 -0.18)87.44% (0.178 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 71.85%
    Tobol 9.65%
    Draw 18.49%
Derry CityDrawTobol
2-0 @ 14.66% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 14.05% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 10.19% (0.215 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.32% (0.209 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.099 0.1)
5-0 @ 2.22% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 71.85%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.49%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 2.63% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 9.65%

How you voted: Derry vs Tobol

Derry City
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Tobol
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 3pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Tobol
1-0
Derry
Asrankulov (65')
Orazov (3'), Asrankulov (15'), Zharynbetov (45+3'), Mladovic (59'), Chesnokov (67'), Shakhov (90+5')

O'Reilly (50'), Connolly (61'), Patching (71')
rhs 2.0
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