Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion
Tobol1 - 0Derry
Asrankulov (65')
Orazov (3'), Asrankulov (15'), Zharynbetov (45+3'), Mladovic (59'), Chesnokov (67'), Shakhov (90+5')
Orazov (3'), Asrankulov (15'), Zharynbetov (45+3'), Mladovic (59'), Chesnokov (67'), Shakhov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: KuPS 3-3 Derry
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tobol | Draw | Derry City |
| 34.79% | 28.51% | 36.71% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
