Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena
KuPS3 - 3Derry
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: KuPS 2-0 KTP
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Derry 2-1 KuPS
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
KuPS | Draw | Derry City |
44.21% ( 0) | 28.62% ( 0) | 27.17% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.58% ( -0.02) | 62.42% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.96% ( -0.01) | 82.04% ( 0.01) |
KuPS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.84% ( -0.01) | 28.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.15% ( -0.01) | 63.85% |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.44% ( -0.02) | 39.56% ( 0.01) |