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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Valencia

Gueye (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sadiq (84')
Lopez (47'), Gaya (48'), Pepelu (87'), Perez (90+4'), Sadiq (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Leganes
Sunday, February 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Valencia

Valencia's recent form has been impressive, but their struggles on the road are a concern, and we are finding it very difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. However, it should be a close match in terms of the scoreline, with Villarreal potentially only just shading it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
59.78% (0.479 0.48) 21.76% (-0.135 -0.14) 18.46% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 53.04% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)44.64% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)67.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.176 0.18)14.53% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (0.335 0.34)42.56% (-0.334 -0.33)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-0.343 -0.34)37.94% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-0.336 -0.34)74.71% (0.337 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 59.77%
    Valencia 18.46%
    Draw 21.76%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 59.77%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.76%
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.46%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
77.6%
Draw
13.8%
Valencia
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')
Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

Ozkacar (36')
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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