Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for De Treffers had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a De Treffers win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
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