Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Consadole Sapporo win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.