MX23RW : Friday, December 27 05:48:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
1 - 4
Reysol

Ryan (37')
Kim (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savio (62' pen., 64'), Kinoshita (72', 90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Reysol
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol

 Neither team has been showcasing much confidence this season, and that is something that could be reflected in the match itself on Sunday. Seeing them share the points would not be a surprise, especially considering how many times Kashiwa Reysol have drawn away from home this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKashiwa Reysol
31.45% (0.265 0.27) 25.69% (0.101 0.1) 42.86% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.33 -0.33)49.82% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.295 -0.29)71.82% (0.298 0.3)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (0.012999999999991 0.01)29.62% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.66% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-0.319 -0.32)23.12% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-0.47 -0.47)56.98% (0.472 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 31.45%
    Kashiwa Reysol 42.85%
    Draw 25.69%
Sagan TosuDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.115 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.85%

How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Reysol

Sagan Tosu
38.5%
Draw
38.5%
Kashiwa Reysol
23.1%
26
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 7am
Gameweek 10
Reysol
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Shimamura (40')
Diego (28'), Tsuchiya (69')
Ryan (14')
Kim (51'), Naganuma (76')
Nov 25, 2023 5am
Gameweek 33
Reysol
2-2
Sagan Tosu
Savio (34'), Hosoya (38')
Togashi (4'), Naganuma (67')
Kawahara (21'), Tezuka (47')
Apr 15, 2023 7am
Gameweek 8
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Reysol
Naganuma (55')
Savio (75')
Jul 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 21
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Reysol

Kikuchi (71')
Muto (19')
Kawaguchi (90+6')
Apr 29, 2022 8am
Gameweek 10
Reysol
1-4
Sagan Tosu
Hosoya (55')
Honda (27'), Tashiro (45'), Fukuta (64'), Iino (82')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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