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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 at 5am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Kagawa (38'), Kato (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honda (86')
Fujita (42'), Naganuma (49')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
46.29% (0.157 0.16) 25.45% (-0.302 -0.3) 28.25% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.05 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (1.322 1.32)50.31% (-1.323 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (1.161 1.16)72.26% (-1.163 -1.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.627 0.63)21.73% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.949 0.95)54.9% (-0.951 -0.95)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.803 0.8)32.14% (-0.804 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.901 0.9)68.62% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 46.29%
    Sagan Tosu 28.26%
    Draw 25.45%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Matsuda (66')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Cerezo
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Okuno (46')

Sento (42'), Seok-Ho (55'), Dudu (81')
Seok-Ho (77')
Dec 16, 2020 10am
Cerezo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Toyokawa (44')
Higuchi (22'), Alves (90+1')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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