J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2022 at 7am UK
Tosu Stadium
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Cerezo
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
38.3% | 28.64% | 33.06% |
Both teams to score 45.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.25% | 60.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% | 80.81% |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% | 30.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.05% | 66.94% |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.89% | 34.11% |