Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kenya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kenya.
0.09) 
-0.04) 
