Friendlies 1
Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Germany1 - 4Japan
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Japan in Wolfsburg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 0-2 Colombia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
We said: Germany 2-1 Japan
Although Germany have endured a disappointing 12 months - winning just two of their previous eight games across all competitions - Die Mannschaft are bound to bounce back before too long. With that in mind, we expect Flick's men to return to winning ways with a narrow victory over Japan, although the Samurai Blue will likely push the hosts all the way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
44.05% ( 1.74) | 25.17% ( -0.08) | 30.77% ( -1.66) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
