Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
