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FA Cup
FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Club Italia Sporting Club

Kingstonian
3 - 2
Eastbourne United

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Kingstonian and Eastbourne United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kingstonian

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Last Game: Kingstonian 0-2 Fylde
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Eastbourne United

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Last Game: Eastbourne United 4-0 Sporting Bengal United
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kingstonian win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Eastbourne United had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kingstonian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Eastbourne United win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kingstonian would win this match.

Result
KingstonianDrawEastbourne United
48.38% (0.962 0.96) 21.32% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 30.3% (-1.011 -1.01)
Both teams to score 69.26% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.27% (-0.83499999999999 -0.83)29.73% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.13% (-1.016 -1.02)50.86% (1.02 1.02)
Kingstonian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)39.49% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Eastbourne United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.953 -0.95)20.4% (0.956 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17% (-1.538 -1.54)52.82% (1.541 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Kingstonian 48.38%
    Eastbourne United 30.3%
    Draw 21.32%
KingstonianDrawEastbourne United
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.259 0.26)
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.175 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.088 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.65% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.52% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.3%

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