Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 57.4%. A win for Gorleston had a probability of 21.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Gorleston win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.