The Match
Match Report
Merih Demiral's own goal and strikes from Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne saw Italy home.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Turkey and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Turkey could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 opener against Italy.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Italy |
| 20.39% | 27.93% | 51.67% |
| Both teams to score 39.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
