MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 20:53:43| >> :600:6667117:6667117:
Bulgaria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slavija
Italy national football team

Bulgaria
0 - 2
Italy


Kostadinov (57'), Vutov (58'), Bozhikov (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belotti (43' pen.), Locatelli (83')
Locatelli (84'), Bernardeschi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Bulgaria and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's World Cup qualifying clash with Bulgaria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 9.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.

Result
BulgariaDrawItaly
9.53%15.2%75.27%
Both teams to score 51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.36%34.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.41%56.59%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.3%44.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.3%80.69%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28%7.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.5%27.5%
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 9.53%
    Italy 75.27%
    Draw 15.2%
BulgariaDrawItaly
2-1 @ 2.87%
1-0 @ 2.78%
2-0 @ 1.12%
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 9.53%
1-1 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 3.67%
0-0 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 11.32%
0-3 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-3 @ 7.78%
0-4 @ 6.19%
1-4 @ 4.99%
0-5 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-5 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-6 @ 1.35%
1-6 @ 1.09%
2-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 75.27%

Head to Head
Sep 6, 2015 7.45pm
Mar 28, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Bulgaria
2-2
Italy
Popov (11'), Micanski (17')
Dyakov (56')
Minev (4' og.), Eder (84')
Immobile (82'), Soriano (88'), Darmian (91')
Sep 6, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 7, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool17133140172342
2Arsenal18106235161936
3Chelsea18105338211735
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Brentford187383232024
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1813141137-266


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