MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:25:01| >> :600:6293175:6293175:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Sweden national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
Austria national football team

Sweden
1 - 3
Austria

Holm (90')
Karlsson (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregoritsch (53'), Arnautovic (56', 69' pen.)
Mwene (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Sweden and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-5 Sweden
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 1-1 Moldova
Thursday, September 7 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 1-1 Austria

 Two well-matched teams are set for a close contest, but Austria have the advantage of knowing a draw would cement their status as qualification favourites. If Sweden can get their attacking weapons firing fully, then a crucial win could be theirs - but the visitors possess plenty of nous and may hold out for a precious point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Austria had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
SwedenDrawAustria
45.45% (0.028000000000006 0.03) 27.76% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 26.78% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)59.78% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01)80.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.022000000000006 0.02)26.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (0.030000000000001 0.03)61.39% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 45.45%
    Austria 26.78%
    Draw 27.75%
SwedenDrawAustria
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 45.45%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 26.78%

How you voted: Sweden vs Austria

Sweden
50.0%
Draw
28.4%
Austria
21.6%
102
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Austria
2-0
Sweden
Baumgartner (81', 89')
Posch (12')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Austria
2-0
Sweden
Helander (11' og.), Alaba (64')
Arnautovic (45')
Sep 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Sweden
1-4
Austria
Ibrahimovic (91')
Granqvist (15')
Alaba (9' pen.), Harnik (38', 88'), Janko (76')
Junuzovic (24'), Janko (30'), Ilsanker (91')
> Match Report
Sep 8, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Austria
1-1
Sweden
Alaba (7' pen.)
Dragovic (74')
Zengin (12')
Ibrahimovic (22'), Larsson (59'), Kallstrom (80')
> Match Report
Jun 7, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Austria
2-1
Sweden
Alaba, Janko
Elmander
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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