Sweden

4 - 1

New Zealand

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.