MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:18:34| >> :600:6289188:6289188:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Estonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Sweden national football team

Estonia
0 - 5
Sweden


Mets (14')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gyokeres (18'), Kulusevski (24'), Isak (39'), Quaison (75'), Claesson (90+2')
Hien (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Estonia and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Belgium
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Sweden

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Sweden
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Estonia 0-3 Sweden

 Sweden have won 16 and drawn one versus Estonia in the past, and despite a sluggish start to their Group F campaign they can now make the most of their firepower in Tallinn. Doubts remain over the Blagult's tactical set-up and selections under Janne Andersson, but they have more than enough nous to see off their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sweden win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawSweden
39.74% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.94% (0.012 0.01) 32.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.49% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)58.41% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)79.01% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.7% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.52% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)33.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)70.02% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 39.73%
    Sweden 32.32%
    Draw 27.94%
EstoniaDrawSweden
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.32%

How you voted: Estonia vs Sweden

Estonia
10.1%
Draw
7.2%
Sweden
82.6%
69
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2021 4.45pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
1-0
Estonia
Berg (4')
Sema (61'), Svanberg (80')

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