MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:29:34| >> :600:6243048:6243048:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Belgium national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Sweden national football team

Belgium
1 - 1
Sweden

Lukaku (31' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gyokeres (15')
Svanberg (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-3 Belgium
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium61316
2Austria6713
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan5-74
5Estonia6-161

Sweden

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 3-1 Moldova
Thursday, October 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium61316
2Austria6713
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan5-74
5Estonia6-161

We said: Belgium 1-0 Sweden

 As Sweden are missing their star striker and have scored just once in three previous games against Group F's top two - each of which ended in defeat - their slim hopes of catching Belgium and Austria will be ended. The Blagult cannot compete toe-to-toe with a vibrant Belgian side, but if the hosts make changes after sealing qualification it could be a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (5.03%).

Result
BelgiumDrawSweden
60.7% (-0.322 -0.32) 21.22% (0.087 0.09) 18.07% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.12% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.85% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)13.66% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.14% (-0.194 -0.19)40.86% (0.197 0.2)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.264 0.26)37.32% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.258 0.26)74.1% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 60.7%
    Sweden 18.07%
    Draw 21.22%
BelgiumDrawSweden
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.7% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.7%
1-1 @ 10% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Belgium vs Sweden

Belgium
78.2%
Draw
14.3%
Sweden
7.5%
147
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sweden
0-3
Belgium
Lukaku (35', 49', 82')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Sweden
0-1
Belgium

Ekdal (33'), Johansson (36')
Nainggolan (84')
Meunier (30'), Witzel (45')
> Match Report
Jun 1, 2014 7.30pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
0-2
Belgium

Durmaz (73'), Bengtsson (77')
Lukaku (35'), Hazard (78')
> Match Report
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