MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:27:57| >> :600:6289750:6289750:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Belgium national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Estonia national football team

Belgium
5 - 0
Estonia

Vertonghen (4'), Trossard (18'), Lukaku (56', 58'), De Ketelaere (88')
De Ketelaere (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mets (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Belgium
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Estonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-5 Sweden
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Belgium 4-0 Estonia

 Victory is surely inevitable for a Belgium side still boasting plenty of talent in spite of recent retirements and injuries. As Estonia were walloped at the weekend, they will seek to keep the scoreline down in Brussels; but when space opens up as the game wears on, the Red Devils can take full advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawEstonia
63.92% (-0.125 -0.13) 20.86% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 15.21% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.13% (-0.173 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (-0.282 -0.28)46.39% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (-0.267 -0.27)68.67% (0.265 0.27)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)13.81% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (-0.253 -0.25)41.16% (0.253 0.25)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.01% (-0.117 -0.12)42.99% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)79.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 63.91%
    Estonia 15.21%
    Draw 20.86%
BelgiumDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 63.91%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 5.01% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 15.21%

How you voted: Belgium vs Estonia

Belgium
90.2%
Draw
9.8%
Estonia
0.0%
61
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-3
Belgium

Sinyavskiy (23'), Ojamaa (27'), Tunjov (73')
Lukaku (37', 40'), Bakayoko (90')
Castagne (4'), Vranckx (22')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
3-1
Estonia
Benteke (11'), Carrasco (53'), Hazard (74')
Sorga (70')
Mets (14')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
2-5
Belgium
Kait (2'), Sorga (83')
Tamm (55')
Vanaken (22'), Lukaku (29', 52'), Witsel (64'), Foket (76')
Lukaku (47'), Saelemaekers (61')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-2
Belgium
Mertens (31'), Chadli (86')
> Match Report
Nov 13, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
8-1
Estonia
Meunier (8'), Mertens (16', 68'), Hazard (25'), Carrasco (62'), Klavan (65' og.), Lukaku (83', 88')
Anier (30')
rhs 2.0
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