MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:25:24| >> :600:6285997:6285997:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Austria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Belgium national football team

Austria
2 - 3
Belgium

Laimer (72'), Sabitzer (84' pen.)
Grillitsch (15'), Seiwald (40'), Wimmer (54'), Laimer (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukebakio (12', 55'), Lukaku (58')
Mangala (24'), Onana (35'), Castagne (63'), Lukaku (78')
Onana (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Austria and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 1-3 Austria
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium51213
2Austria5813
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan4-91
5Estonia5-141

Belgium

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Estonia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium51213
2Austria5813
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan4-91
5Estonia5-141

We said: Austria 1-2 Belgium

 An entertaining Group F contest could in store on Friday between two nations who will want to clinch qualification for Euro 2024 with a victory and get the job done with two games to spare. Both teams are missing a few key players, but we believe that Belgium have the edge in the final third, particular with an in-form Lukaku set to lead the line, and they should outscore the hosts en route to claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawBelgium
36.19% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 26.84% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 36.97% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28% (0.213 0.21)53.72% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (0.18 0.18)75.2% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.026000000000003 0.03)64.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.217 0.22)28.05% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (0.273 0.27)63.71% (-0.268 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Austria 36.19%
    Belgium 36.96%
    Draw 26.83%
AustriaDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.96%

How you voted: Austria vs Belgium

Austria
13.3%
Draw
25.9%
Belgium
60.7%
135
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
1-1
Austria
Lukaku (61')
Lukaku (90+4')
Gregoritsch (21')
Wober (32'), Posch (53'), Schlager (69'), Schlager (90+1')
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