We said: Olympiacos 1-1 Genk
Although Genk have the greater match fitness in their legs, we cannot ignore that they have earned mixed results during their opening quartet of fixtures. With home advantage in their favour, Olympiacos may do enough to match their opponents and earn a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.