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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ortalıq Stadion
Lincoln Red Imps

Tobol
2 - 0
Lincoln

Zhaksylykov (65'), Tomasevic (90+1')
Zharynbetov (35'), Kairov (43'), Tomasevic (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Toscano (54'), Ronan (62')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Lincoln Red Imps.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ferencvaros 5-1 Tobol
Wednesday, July 13 at 7pm in Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Shkupi
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tobol would win this match.

Result
TobolDrawLincoln Red Imps
53.88%24.96%21.16%
Both teams to score 47.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9%54.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48%75.52%
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95%20.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73%52.27%
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51%40.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9%77.1%
Score Analysis
    Tobol 53.88%
    Lincoln Red Imps 21.16%
    Draw 24.95%
TobolDrawLincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Tobol vs Lincoln

Tobol
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lincoln Red Imps
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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