We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0-2 Lille
Although Ljubljana have fared well in their recent home matches, the visit of French giants Lille represents the toughest tests the Slovenians are set to encounter this term.
Fonseca's men put in a commanding display to breeze past strugglers Lyon on the weekend, and we see them doing a similar thing at Stadion Stozice to sealed Les Dogues' place in the knockout stages.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.