Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde4 - 1Elfsborg
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Elfsborg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Molde 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 15 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 16 | 9 | 28 |
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sirius | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 10 | Mjallby AIF | 14 | 1 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Elfsborg |
42.11% ( 0.03) | 22.63% ( -0.06) | 35.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.43% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
