MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:44:48| >> :120:6346:6346:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Molde logo
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
4 - 1
Elfsborg

Andre Kaasa (49'), Haugen (55'), Breivik (60'), Mannsverk (81' pen.)
Knudtzon (90+1'), Hansen (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alm (14')
Strand (43'), Larsson (50'), Romer (51'), Henriksson (57'), Holmen (75')
Boateng (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Elfsborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

Last Six:
Last Game: Molde 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Elfsborg

Last Six:
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawElfsborg
42.11% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 22.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 35.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 66.43% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71% (0.312 0.31)34.29% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.81% (0.351 0.35)56.19% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.13800000000001 0.14)16.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (0.246 0.25)47.06% (-0.246 -0.25)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (0.15900000000001 0.16)20% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (0.255 0.26)52.18% (-0.255 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Molde 42.11%
    Elfsborg 35.27%
    Draw 22.63%
MoldeDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.27%

How you voted: Molde vs Elfsborg

Molde
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Elfsborg
6.3%
16
rhs 2.0
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