Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
Lech Poznan2 - 1Spartak Trnava
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stetina (87')
Bainovic (44'), Prochazka (90+2')
Bainovic (44'), Prochazka (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Lech Poznan and Spartak Trnava.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, August 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zlate Moravce 1-1 Spartak Trnava
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
| 50.8% | 24.42% | 24.77% |
| Both teams to score 53.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
