Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Rijeka6 - 1Dukagjini
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between HNK Rijeka and Dukagjini.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Rijeka
Sunday, July 30 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, July 30 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dukagjini 0-1 Rijeka
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Osijek | 16 | 5.33 | Bukvic |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2.00 | Petkovic |
| 3 | Rijeka | 4 | 2.00 | Jankovic |
| 4 | Slaven Koprivnica | 4 | 1.33 | Crnac |
| 5 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 1.50 | Livaja |
| 6 | Varazdin | 3 | 1.50 | Brodic |
| 7 | Rudes | 3 | 1.50 | |
| 8 | Gorica | 2 | 1.00 | Vujnovic |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 1 | 0.50 | Erceg |
| 10 | NK Lokomotiva | 1 | 0.50 | Bubanja |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dukagjini had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Dukagjini win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Dukagjini |
69.3% ( 0.01) | 18.45% ( 0) | 12.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
