We said: AEK Larnaca 1-3 West Ham United
On some level, Moyes will feel that this is one of the most important matches of his reign, the pressure on his players to deliver when his job is at risk. However, the Hammers should have too much firepower for one of the minnows remaining in this competition, potentially laying the foundations for a comfortable second leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.