Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Milsami had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Milsami win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.