EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe5 - 1Liverpool U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Liverpool Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 1-2 Leicester U21s
Saturday, August 24 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Saturday, August 24 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
31.61% ( 0.38) | 21.53% ( 0.12) | 46.85% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 69.22% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.91% ( -0.38) | 30.09% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.7% ( -0.46) | 51.3% ( 0.46) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% ( 0.02) | 51.98% ( -0.02) |
Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.39% ( -0.3) | 13.61% ( 0.3) |