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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Chelsea logo

Newcastle
vs.
Chelsea

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Newcastle United could lineup for Wednesday night's EFL Cup fourth-round clash with Chelsea at St James' Park.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth round tie against Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League

Chelsea

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League

We say: Newcastle United 1-2 Chelsea

 With both teams set to make a raft of changes to their XIs, we are expecting a scrappy affair in which moments of magic will decide the winner. As shown during the early stages of their Conference League campaign, Chelsea have an embarrassment of riches in attacking areas and should have enough quality to squeeze past the Magpies and into the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 35.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.38%) and 1-3 (5.16%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.09%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
35.78% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 22.09% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 42.13% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 68.67% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.58% (0.014999999999986 0.01)31.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.11% (0.016000000000005 0.02)52.89% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.45% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)49.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)44.93% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.78%
    Chelsea 42.13%
    Draw 22.09%
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.78%
1-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.36%
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 42.13%

Who will win Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle and Chelsea?

Newcastle United
Draw
Chelsea
Newcastle United
28.0%
Draw
4.0%
Chelsea
68.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Chelsea
2-1
Newcastle
Jackson (18'), Palmer (47')
Fofana (11'), Lavia (54'), Madueke (66'), Sanchez (84'), Neto (88'), Nkunku (90+4'), Maresca (90+4')
Isak (32')
Schar (22'), Tonali (64'), Longstaff (90')
> Match Report
Mar 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Chelsea
3-2
Newcastle
Jackson (6'), Palmer (57'), Mudryk (76')
Sterling (39'), Petrovic (71'), Caicedo (72')
Isak (43'), Murphy (90')
White (90+6')
> Match Report
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Chelsea
1-1
Newcastle
(Aggregate 1-1 | Chelsea win 4-2 on penalties)
Mudryk (90+2')
Caicedo (2'), Sterling (71'), Gallagher (90+4'), Mudryk (90+6')
Wilson (16')
Wilson (87'), Guimaraes (90+5')
> Match Report
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Newcastle
4-1
Chelsea
Isak (13'), Lascelles (60'), Joelinton (61'), Gordon (83')
Trippier (22'), Joelinton (45+3'), Lascelles (46'), Ritchie (90+2')
Sterling (23')
Ugochukwu (41'), James (55'), Sterling (59'), Cucurella (77'), Colwill (81')
James (73')
> Match Report
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
1-1
Chelsea
Almiron (45')
Schar (20')
Jackson (12')
Gallagher (83')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131
> Premier League Full Table


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