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Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Chelsea logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Chelsea

Isak (23'), Disasi (26' og.)
Schar (16'), Longstaff (19'), Gordon (52'), Pope (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Badiashile (29'), Felix (85')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle are into the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 2-0 win over Chelsea at St James' Park this evening.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Newcastle United could lineup for Wednesday night's EFL Cup fourth-round clash with Chelsea at St James' Park.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth round tie against Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.48%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
35.82% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 22.19% (0.104 0.1) 41.99% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 68.28% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.06% (-0.514 -0.51)31.93% (0.512 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.51% (-0.605 -0.61)53.49% (0.603 0.6)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.215 -0.22)18.66% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-0.366 -0.37)49.99% (0.366 0.37)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.262 -0.26)16.05% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (-0.482 -0.48)45.41% (0.481 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.82%
    Chelsea 41.99%
    Draw 22.19%
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.99%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Chelsea

Newcastle United
18.8%
Draw
13.2%
Chelsea
68.0%
325
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Chelsea
2-1
Newcastle
Jackson (18'), Palmer (47')
Fofana (11'), Lavia (54'), Madueke (66'), Sanchez (84'), Neto (88'), Nkunku (90+4'), Maresca (90+4')
Isak (32')
Schar (22'), Tonali (64'), Longstaff (90')
Mar 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Chelsea
3-2
Newcastle
Jackson (6'), Palmer (57'), Mudryk (76')
Sterling (39'), Petrovic (71'), Caicedo (72')
Isak (43'), Murphy (90')
White (90+6')
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Chelsea
1-1
Newcastle
(Aggregate 1-1 | Chelsea win 4-2 on penalties)
Mudryk (90+2')
Caicedo (2'), Sterling (71'), Gallagher (90+4'), Mudryk (90+6')
Wilson (16')
Wilson (87'), Guimaraes (90+5')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Newcastle
4-1
Chelsea
Isak (13'), Lascelles (60'), Joelinton (61'), Gordon (83')
Trippier (22'), Joelinton (45+3'), Lascelles (46'), Ritchie (90+2')
Sterling (23')
Ugochukwu (41'), James (55'), Sterling (59'), Cucurella (77'), Colwill (81')
James (73')
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
1-1
Chelsea
Almiron (45')
Schar (20')
Jackson (12')
Gallagher (83')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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