MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:34:24| >> :120:4426:4426:
Medellin
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
1 - 1
Guairena

Armando Cambindo Abonia (27')
Gomez (39'), Carlos Pineda Jimenez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duarte (60')
Jimenez (30'), Gimenez (32'), Salinas (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente Medellin and Guairena, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

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Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Guairena

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Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Independiente Medellin 2-2 Guairena

 Tuesday's game sees two sides at opposite ends of the group standings go head to head with Guairena needing a win to progress to the next round. However, Independiente Medellin have been solid on home turf, losing just once in their last 15 outings since the turn of the year. We predict they will make use of their home advantage once again and do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Guairena win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawGuairena
39.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 36.38%
Both teams to score 62.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)39.72% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)62.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.2% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)52.5% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Guairena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.9% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.15% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 39.87%
    Guairena 36.38%
    Draw 23.75%
Independiente MedellinDrawGuairena
2-1 @ 8.59%
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.38%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 1.30am
Guairena
3-3
Medellin
Otazu (6'), Ayala (56'), Guillermo Arboleda (65' og.)
Santacruz (30'), Salinas (52'), Aguilar (66')
Pons (33'), Arregui (38'), Manuel Cuesta (90+1')
Mendez (79')
rhs 2.0
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