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Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 30, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Atletico Mineiro

River Plate
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 2-1 Atletico Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro advances 4-2 on aggregate)

It would be a stretch for a side as consistent and strong as Mineiro to lose by three goals, and although River Plate have plenty of firepower, we do not believe it will be enough to turn this tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawAtletico Mineiro
53.35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 21.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.2% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)52.46% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)74.13% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)19.62% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.42% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)51.58% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.21% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)38.79% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.52% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 53.34%
    Atletico Mineiro 21.92%
    Draw 24.72%
River PlateDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.92%

How you voted: River Plate vs Atletico Mineiro

River Plate
72.4%
Draw
10.3%
Atletico Mineiro
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Atletico Mineiro
3-0
River Plate
Deyverson (22', 70'), Paulinho (74')
Vera (90+3')

Colidio (26'), Bustos (43'), Meza (46'), Diaz (85'), Meza (90+3'), Bareiro (90')
Aug 19, 2021 1.30am
Aug 12, 2021 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
River Plate
0-1
Atletico Mineiro
Diaz (77'), Perez (90+2')
Fernandez (84')
rhs 2.0
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