MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 12:40:11| >> :600:9038751:9038751:
San Lorenzo
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Atletico Mineiro

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Cuello (17')
Cuello (18'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paulinho (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between San Lorenzo and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: San Lorenzo 2-1 Atletico Mineiro

San Lorenzo's recent home defeat has cast doubt on their ability to capitalise on home advantage in this tie – however, they were solid on home soil during the group stages, and with Atletico Mineiro enduring a poor run of form, we are tipping the Argentine side to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawAtletico Mineiro
28.19% (0.945 0.95) 29.64% (0.182 0.18) 42.17% (-1.126 -1.13)
Both teams to score 41.44% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.85% (-0.188 -0.19)65.16% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16% (-0.131 -0.13)84% (0.134 0.13)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75% (0.69600000000001 0.7)40.25% (-0.692 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12% (0.626 0.63)76.88% (-0.62299999999999 -0.62)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)30.64% (0.731 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.872 -0.87)66.88% (0.87400000000001 0.87)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 28.19%
    Atletico Mineiro 42.16%
    Draw 29.63%
San LorenzoDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.148 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 1.83% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.08% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 28.19%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 12.33% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.57% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.63%
0-1 @ 14.58% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 42.16%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Atletico Mineiro

San Lorenzo
Draw
Atletico Mineiro
San Lorenzo
42.3%
Draw
19.2%
Atletico Mineiro
38.5%
26
Head to Head
May 9, 2018 1.45am
First Stage
Atletico Mineiro
0-0
San Lorenzo
Maidana (19'), Andrade (55')
Gudino (13'), Mercier (35'), Reniero (43'), Botta (45'), Senesi (45'), Piris (62')
Apr 11, 2018 11.15pm
First Stage
San Lorenzo
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Gudino (39')
Piris (59')

Blanco (64'), Bremer (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!