Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
We said: San Lorenzo 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
San Lorenzo's recent home defeat has cast doubt on their ability to capitalise on home advantage in this tie – however, they were solid on home soil during the group stages, and with Atletico Mineiro enduring a poor run of form, we are tipping the Argentine side to win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
28.19% ( 0.95) | 29.64% ( 0.18) | 42.17% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.85% ( -0.19) | 65.16% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16% ( -0.13) | 84% ( 0.13) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.75% ( 0.7) | 40.25% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.12% ( 0.63) | 76.88% ( -0.62) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.73) | 30.64% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.12% ( -0.87) | 66.88% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
San Lorenzo 28.19%
Atletico Mineiro 42.16%
Draw 29.63%
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.36% Total : 28.19% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.63% | 0-1 @ 14.58% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.29)1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.27% Total : 42.16% |
How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Atletico Mineiro
San Lorenzo
42.3%Draw
19.2%Atletico Mineiro
38.5%26
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2018 11.15pm
Form Guide
