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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Talleres

Borja (34'), Simon (50')
Borja (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Girotti (69')
Galarza (64'), Benavidez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Talleres, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, August 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 1-1 Talleres (River Plate advances 2-0 on aggregate)

Talleres showed tremendous poise and discipline in the opening leg of this tie, but they will have to open up and play to win at some point. River Plate are more than capable of handling the pressure Cordoba may throw at them and hitting them with a goal on the counter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawTalleres
54.3% (-0.615 -0.62) 24.33% (0.559 0.56) 21.37% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.66% (-1.598 -1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-2.167 -2.17)51.48% (2.172 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-1.919 -1.92)73.28% (1.924 1.92)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-1.043 -1.04)18.87% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-1.772 -1.77)50.34% (1.778 1.78)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22% (-1.164 -1.16)38.78% (1.169 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48% (-1.123 -1.12)75.51% (1.127 1.13)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 54.29%
    Talleres 21.37%
    Draw 24.33%
River PlateDrawTalleres
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.64 0.64)
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.614 0.61)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.377 0.38)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: River Plate vs Talleres

River Plate
67.6%
Draw
29.4%
Talleres
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Talleres
0-1
River Plate

Catalan (19'), Galarza (90+3')
Suarez (60')
Diaz (86')
Diaz (45'), Echeverri (50'), Simon (82')
Mar 3, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Talleres
2-2
River Plate
Sosa (61'), Portilla (76')
Carlos Portillo (40')
Solari (2'), Borja (38')
Diaz (36'), Aliendro (64')
Oct 8, 2023 8.45pm
Gameweek 8
River Plate
1-0
Talleres
Rondon (19')
Casco (35'), Gonzalez Pirez (57'), Rondon (66'), de la Cruz (90'), Aliendro (90+2'), Diaz (90+3')

Carlos Portillo (24'), Bustos (90+3'), Garro (90+3')
May 15, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Talleres
2-1
River Plate
Garro (63', 73')
Suarez (79')
Sep 24, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
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