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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Flamengo

LDU Quito
2 - 3
Flamengo

Borja (50'), Amarilla (61')
Caicedo (27'), Corozo (28'), Alcivar (36'), Piovi (70'), Espinoza (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barbosa (3', 85' pen.), Henrique (30')
Souza (68'), Diego (68'), Barbosa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawFlamengo
34.96%22.62%42.42%
Both teams to score 66.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.67%34.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.76%56.24%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83%20.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55%52.45%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14%16.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.13%46.87%
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 34.96%
    Flamengo 42.42%
    Draw 22.62%
LDU QuitoDrawFlamengo
2-1 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 5.12%
2-3 @ 4.1%
0-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.42%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 42.42%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Flamengo

LDU Quito
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Flamengo
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
LDU Quito
2-1
Flamengo
Anangono (45'), Chicaiza (73')
Intriago (26'), Chicaiza (74')
Henrique (19')
Caio (34')
Mar 14, 2019 12.30am
Group Stage
Flamengo
3-1
LDU Quito
Ribeiro (9'), Barbosa (69'), Uribe (81')
Cuellar (53')
Borja (92' pen.)
Aguirre (15'), Intriago (51')
rhs 2.0
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