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CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Inter Miami

Monterrey
3 - 1
Inter Miami

Vazquez (31'), Berterame (58'), Gallardo (64')
Medina (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gomez (85')
Suarez (70'), Alba (74')
Alba (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions Cup clash between Monterrey and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Inter Miami

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Monterrey 1-1 Inter Miami (Monterrey advance 3-2 on aggregate)

 Even the great Messi can only do so much, and though we expect him to play, he and his veteran teammates appear to be fatigued with the demands of MLS and this tournament. Monterrey have plenty of attacking depth, and being a goal up should allow them to hang back and counter effectively against a side like Miami, who have been vulnerable on the back end and leave plenty of gaps in between their midfield and defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawInter Miami
64.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 19.63% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 16.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.383 -0.38)38.72% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.404 -0.4)61.02% (0.403 0.4)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.57% (-0.133 -0.13)11.43% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.78% (-0.286 -0.29)36.22% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (-0.239 -0.24)36.92% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (-0.24 -0.24)73.7% (0.24000000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 64.1%
    Inter Miami 16.28%
    Draw 19.63%
MonterreyDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.1%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.63%
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 16.28%

How you voted: Monterrey vs Inter Miami

Monterrey
23.7%
Draw
13.2%
Inter Miami
63.2%
38
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2024 1am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Inter Miami
1-2
Monterrey
Aviles (19')
Gomez (33'), Alba (42'), Ruiz (61'), Busquets (76'), Suarez (89'), Sailor (90+3')
Ruiz (65')
Meza (69'), Rodriguez (89')
Gallardo (45+3'), Rodriguez (83'), Vegas (90')
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