Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.