Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.