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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 7
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Naftan

Nuradin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kirilenko (77')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Smorgon
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawNaftan
44.32% (-0.2 -0.2) 24.99% (0.183 0.18) 30.69% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.784 -0.78)47.11% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.734 -0.73)69.35% (0.744 0.74)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.414 -0.41)21.29% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.65 -0.65)54.22% (0.659 0.66)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.374 -0.37)28.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.472 -0.47)64.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 44.32%
    Naftan 30.69%
    Draw 24.99%
SmorgonDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.69%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk30208250133768
2Neman30205545192665
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ30188445212462
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest30147962372549
5Vitebsk30145113325847
6Gomel30111183728944
7IslochIsloch30118113630641
8BATE BorisovBATE30117123838040
9SlutskSlutsk30116132641-1539
10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk30108122936-738
11Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr30811112833-535
12Smorgon30711123351-1832
13FC MinskFC Minsk30610142844-1628
14Naftan30511142744-1726
15Dnepr Mogilev3039182758-3118
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk3057181945-262
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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