Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for Rukh Brest had a probability of 21.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rukh Brest win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.