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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Real Sociedad logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 0
Real Sociedad

Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (30')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A key battle in the race for spots in the top six of the La Liga table will take place on Sunday, as Basque rivals Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad square off at San Mames.

The visitors currently sit sixth with a four-point lead over their hosts, who are just two places behind in a tight top half.


Match preview

Real Sociedad coach Imanol Alguacil reacts on February 17, 2022© Reuters

After eventually slumping to a 10th-placed finish in La Liga last term, Athletic Bilbao set their sights on a stronger campaign this time around, and they currently find themselves in eighth spot with 34 points from their 24 outings.

Marcelino's men enjoyed a climb thanks to an impressive run of league form after the turn of the year, earning 10 points from their opening four games of 2022.

After an away win over Osasuna and a slightly disappointing draw with Alaves, Los Leones picked up narrow 1-0 and 2-1 victories over Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol respectively, with Oihan Sancet and Inigo Martinez completing a turnaround in the latter.

Marcelino's men were unable to stretch their run any further last time out, though, despite drawing level against Mallorca through Raul Garcia and Alex Berenguer after trailing 2-0, as a late Unai Simon own goal eventually saw them leave empty-handed.

While that put their progress on hold, Athletic do remain just four points off the top six and five points behind Barcelona in fourth spot, meaning continental qualification is certainly still a realistic aim, especially if they can pick up a result against their sixth-placed rivals on Sunday.

Athletic Bilbao's Alex Berenguer celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 3, 2022© Reuters

Real Sociedad arrive looking to extend a five-game unbeaten run in Spain's top flight to strengthen their position in the top six, having earned nine points from those outings.

Imanol Alguacil's side initially dropped out of the top four due to a run of four straight defeats, but they arrested the slump by drawing with Alaves before earning a hard-fought 1-0 win over Celta Vigo.

Following stalemates with Getafe and Valencia, La Real made a return to winning ways last weekend, as Mikel Oyarzabal and Rafinha netted goals in a 2-0 defeat of Granada.

In a packed schedule, Alguacil's men were in continental action on Thursday, and, after an impressive 2-2 draw away at RB Leipzig in the first leg of their Europa League playoff tie, they will turn their attention back to the domestic front ahead of next week's second leg in the Basque Country.

With the top four within reach, Real Sociedad will aim to post an 11th league win of the campaign to both strengthen their claim for Champions League qualification and put more distance between themselves and their rivals in pursuit of the top six.

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Real Sociedad La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Real Sociedad form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D



Team News

Real Sociedad's Adnan Januzaj celebrates scoring their first goal with Mikel Oyarzabal on January 19, 2022© Reuters

Athletic Bilbao will remain without Nico Williams and Ander Capa through injuries, while Oier Zarraga is suspended for this weekend's clash.

However, key defender Inigo Martinez will return from a ban of his own, and the Spanish international should come straight back into the defensive line.

Key men Alex Berenguer and Iker Muniain should again operate on the wings with Marcelino likely to deploy the established duo of Inaki Williams and Raul Garcia at the top end of the pitch.

Real Sociedad also have several concerns to deal with, as Adnan Januzaj, Ander Barrenetxea and Nacho Monreal are ruled out while Carlos Fernandez remains a doubt.

In the absence of Barrentxea and Januzaj, Portu will likely complete a front three with the potent duo of Alexander Isak and Mikel Oyarzabal, with the latter having hit eight league goals from the wing so far this term.

Further back, Mikel Merino, David Silva and Martin Zubimendi form an accomplished midfield unit, with Silva set to support the attacking line.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; De Marcos, Alvarez, Martinez, Berchiche; Berenguer, Vencedor, D Garcia, Muniain; Williams, R Garcia

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Remiro; Gorosabel, Elustondo, Normand, Munoz; Merino, Silva, Zubimendi; Oyarzabal, Isak, Portu


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad

With two rivals and two of the league's strongest defences squaring off in a crucial battle, we see this being a cagey affair and predict a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome.

Both have the ability to neutralise one another's attacking threats with organised structures, and we cannot quite pick a winner for this edition of the Basque Derby as a result.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao
45.7%
Draw
30.4%
Real Sociedad
23.9%
46
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Real Sociedad's Alexander Isak celebrates scoring their first goal on November 25, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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