Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
