MX23RW : Friday, December 27 03:21:44| >> :600:1810107:1810107:
Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
Congo national football team

South Africa
5 - 0
Congo

Mokoena (12', 27'), Jurry Aubaas (37'), Foster (52'), Rayners (79')
Mokoena (11'), Mokwana (69'), Kwayiba (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 South Africa
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Congo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 2-0 Congo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: South Africa 2-0 Congo

 While Congo have caused opponents difficulty in the last year, such as holding the likes of Gambia and Gabon to draws and only narrowly losing to Zambia, their off-field issues have taken a toll on their performances in recent months, and we feel that they will struggle to keep up with the home side in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Congo had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.13%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawCongo
61.92% (-0.3 -0.3) 24.53% (0.138 0.14) 13.55% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 35.76% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.59% (-0.168 -0.17)62.41% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.96% (-0.122 -0.12)82.03% (0.121 0.12)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)20.17% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (-0.292 -0.29)52.47% (0.292 0.29)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.8% (0.157 0.16)55.2% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12% (0.092000000000001 0.09)88% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 61.91%
    Congo 13.55%
    Draw 24.52%
South AfricaDrawCongo
1-0 @ 17.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 61.91%
0-0 @ 11.13% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.15% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 13.55%

How you voted: South Africa vs Congo

South Africa
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Congo
0.0%
21
rhs 2.0
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