Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
South Africa5 - 0Congo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 South Africa
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Uganda 2-0 Congo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: South Africa 2-0 Congo
While Congo have caused opponents difficulty in the last year, such as holding the likes of Gambia and Gabon to draws and only narrowly losing to Zambia, their off-field issues have taken a toll on their performances in recent months, and we feel that they will struggle to keep up with the home side in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Congo had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.13%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Congo |
61.92% ( -0.3) | 24.53% ( 0.14) | 13.55% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 35.76% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
