MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 03:20:46| >> :600:929514:929514:
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Congo national football team

Uganda
2 - 0
Congo

Kayondo (21'), Ssemugabi (85')
Omedi (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Passi (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Uganda
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-0 South Sudan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Uganda 1-0 Congo

Buoyed by their narrow victory last time out, Congo will undoubtedly be feeling better about themselves heading into this one, but we can see them coming away empty-handed, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.

Result
UgandaDrawCongo
27.61% (-0.444 -0.44) 28.89% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 43.49% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 42.99% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.91% (0.097999999999999 0.1)63.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (0.07 0.07)82.53% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43% (-0.318 -0.32)39.56% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (-0.294 -0.29)76.25% (0.292 0.29)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (0.33799999999999 0.34)28.87% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.416 0.42)64.74% (-0.42 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 27.61%
    Congo 43.49%
    Draw 28.88%
UgandaDrawCongo
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 14.19% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.49%

How you voted: Uganda vs Congo

Uganda
71.1%
Draw
22.2%
Congo
6.7%
45
rhs 2.0
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